| Published: 2024-03-07 08:23:14 CET | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MarketThe product tanker market was strongly impacted by geopolitical events in 2023. The EU/G7 sanctions against Russian oil products officially took effect in February 2023, which reinforced the trade recalibration that had already begun in 2022 ahead of the sanctions. In early October 2023, a military conflict in the Middle East and subsequent attacks against vessels forced vessels to re-route away from the Red Sea. This added to the ton-mile growth already seen from the sanctions against Russia.
On top of geopolitical factors, restrictions on Panama Canal transits similarly resulted in longer sailing patterns.
The consequent trade recalibration towards long-haul trade led to a step change in product tanker freight rates towards a higher average level. However, the recalibration also increased rate volatility as the product tanker fleet moved closer to the point of full utilization, where even small changes in underlying demand and supply created high volatility in freight rates.
Vessel transactionsDuring 2023 TORM acquired 22 newer eco vessels and divested 11 of its oldest vessels, and in the first quarter of 2024 TORM acquired one additional LR2 vessel in a partly share based transaction with issuance of approximately 0.6 million shares. Thus, TORM has in total acquired nine LR2, seven LR1 vessels and seven MR vessels. These transactions have both increased the long-haul fleet significantly and further improved the environmental profile of the total fleet. TORM sees attractive returns over the coming years by increasing the share of the larger vessel classes due to changing trading patterns, not least caused by the change in the global refinery landscape.
In total, the vessel transactions during 2023 and Q1 2024 have increased TORM’s operational leverage and thereby purposely increased TORM’s capacity to benefit from an expected continued strong market.
Following all the transactions TORM will have a total of 90 vessels.
Distribution for fourth quarter of 2023 and updated distribution policy (INSIDE INFORMATION)TORM’s Board of Directors recommends subject to approval at the annual general meeting that a final dividend of USD 1.36 per share to be paid to the shareholders corresponding to an expected total dividend payment of approximately USD 126m. The payment date is 24 April 2024 to all shareholders of record as of 16 April 2024, and the ex-dividend date is 15 April 2024.
In total, high freight rates and earnings have enabled TORM to declare dividends of USD 497m in 2023 based on the Distribution Policy implemented in 2022 by which excess cash is shared with investors on a quarterly basis. The distribution in 2023 is equivalent to 83% of net profit excluding profit from sale of vessels.
TORM has amended its Distribution Policy. The Board of Directors will continue to maintain the overall principle to distribute, on a quarterly basis, excess liquidity above a threshold liquidity level per vessel based on the number of owned and leased vessels in TORM’s fleet as on at the balance sheet day. The Distribution Policy will no longer have the earmarked proceeds mechanism.
Financial Outlook 2024 (INSIDE INFORMATION)TORM’s financial outlook is based on our current product tanker market expectations. We do, however, have limited visibility on TCE rates that are not yet fixed with our customers, hence these rates may be significantly lower or significantly higher than our current expectations.
For the full year 2024, TCE earnings are expected to be in the range of USD 1.0 – 1.35bn (2023: USD 1,084m), and EBITDA is expected to be in the range of USD 700 – 1,050m (2023: USD 848m) based on the current fleet size, including published acquisitions and divestments of vessels.
As of 04 March 2024, TORM had covered 25% of the 2024 earning days at USD/day 44,089. Hence, 75% of the 2024 full year earning days are subject to change. Consequently, as 23,737 earning days in 2024 are unfixed, a change in freight rates of USD/day 1,000 will – all other things being equal – impact the EBITDA by USD 23.7m.
Also, as of 04 March 2024, 82% of the Q1 2024 earning days were covered at USD/day 45,036. For the individual vessel classes, the Q1 2024 coverage was 78% at USD/day 59,330 for LR2, 77% at USD/day 50,794 for LR1 and 84% at USD/day 40,413 for MR.
Webcast and conference callTORM will host a webcast and conference call for investors and analysts today, Thursday 07 March 2024 at 09:00 am Eastern Time / 03:00 pm Central European Time.
Participants joining webcast: Please access the webcast here.
Participants joining by telephone: Please call one of the dial-in numbers (below) at least ten minutes prior to the start (Conference ID: 2130161): Denmark: +45 32 74 07 10 United Kingdom: +44 20 3481 4247 United States: +1 (646) 307 1963
The presentation can be downloaded here prior to the event.
ContactsJacob Meldgaard, Chief Executive Officer and Executive DirectorTel.: +45 3917 9200Kim Balle, Chief Financial OfficerTel.: +45 3917 9200Mikael Bo Larsen, Head of Investor RelationsTel.: +45 5143 8002
About TORMTORM is one of the world’s leading carriers of refined oil products. TORM operates a fleet of approximately 90 product tanker vessels with a strong commitment to safety. environmental responsibility and customer service. TORM was founded in 1889 and conducts business worldwide. TORM’s shares are listed on Nasdaq in Copenhagen and on Nasdaq in New York (ticker: TRMD A and TRMD. ISIN: GB00BZ3CNK81). For further information. please visit www.torm.com.
Safe harbor statements as to the futureMatters discussed in this release may constitute forward-looking statements. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides safe harbor protections for forward-looking statements in order to encourage companies to provide prospective information about their business. Forward-looking statements reflect our current views with respect to future events and financial performance and may include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are statements other than statements of historical facts. The Company desires to take advantage of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and is including this cautionary statement in connection with this safe harbor legislation. Words such as, but not limited to, “expects,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates,” “targets,” “projects,” “forecasts,” “potential,” “continue,” “possible,” “likely,” “may,” “could,” “should” and similar expressions or phrases may identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this release are based upon various assumptions, many of which are, in turn, based upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management’s examination of historical operating trends, data contained in our records and other data available from third parties. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, because these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies that are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond our control, the Company cannot guarantee that it will achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs, or projections. Important factors that, in our view, could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, our future operating or financial results; changes in governmental rules and regulations or actions taken by regulatory authorities; the central bank policies intended to combat overall inflation and rising interest rates and foreign exchange rates; inflationary pressure; increased cost of capital or limited access to funding due to EU Taxonomy or relevant territorial taxonomy regulations; [the length and severity of epidemics and pandemics and their impact on the demand for seaborne transportation of petroleum products;] general domestic and international political conditions or events, including “trade wars”, and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the developments in the Middle East, including the conflicts in Israel and the Gaza Strip, and the conflict regarding the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea; changes in economic and competitive conditions affecting our business, including market fluctuations in charter rates and charterers’ abilities to perform under existing time charters; changes in the supply and demand for vessels comparable to ours and the number of newbuildings under construction; the highly cyclical nature of the industry that we operate in; the loss of a large customer or significant business relationship; changes in worldwide oil production and consumption and storage; risks associated with any future vessel construction; our expectations regarding the availability of vessel acquisitions and our ability to complete acquisition transactions planned; availability of skilled crew members other employees and the related labor costs; work stoppages or other labor disruptions by our employees or the employees of other companies in related industries; the impact of increasing scrutiny and changing expectations from investors, lenders and other market participants with respect to our ESG policies; Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977 or other applicable regulations relating to bribery; effects of new products and new technology in our industry, including the potential for technological innovation to reduce the value of our vessels and charter income derived therefrom; new environmental regulations and restrictions, whether at a global level stipulated by the International Maritime Organization, and/or imposed by regional or national authorities such as the European Union or individual countries; the impact of an interruption in or failure of our information technology and communications systems, including the impact of cyber-attacks, upon our ability to operate; potential conflicts of interest involving members of our board of directors and senior management; the failure of counterparties to fully perform their contracts with us; changes in credit risk with respect to our counterparties on contracts; our dependence on key personnel and our ability to attract, retain and motivate key employees; adequacy of insurance coverage; our ability to obtain indemnities from customers; changes in laws, treaties or regulations; our incorporation under the laws of England and Wales and the different rights to relief that may be available compared to other countries, including the United States; government requisition of our vessels during a period of war or emergency; the arrest of our vessels by maritime claimants; any further changes in U.S. trade policy that could trigger retaliatory actions by the affected countries; potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents, climate-related incidents, environmental factors, political events, public health threats, acts by terrorists or acts of piracy on ocean-going vessels; the impact of adverse weather and natural disasters; damage to storage and receiving facilities; potential liability from future litigation and potential costs due to environmental damage and vessel collisions; and the length and number of off-hire periods and dependence on third-party managers. In the light of these risks and uncertainties, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements contained in this release because they are statements about events that are not certain to occur as described or at all. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of our future performance, and actual results and future developments may vary materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Except to the extent required by applicable law or regulation, the Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly any revisions or updates to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this release or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Please see TORM’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for a more complete discussion of certain of these and other risks and uncertainties. The information set forth herein speaks only as of the date hereof, and the Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of developments occurring after the date of this communication.
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